No position
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Polymarket Trader
Tommy-123123
0x00fefd8cfd35bd0ccd86083086ffbf39240e52e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.6
- Realized PnL
- $5.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $29.8
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $19.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $24.85
- Potential profit
- $15.03
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$6.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $12.06
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.68
- Potential profit
- $7.68
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.54
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.24
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.72
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.55
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.12
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $400
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $350
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.04
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.69
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.55
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?Yes 46% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?Yes 40% 9 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?No 17.4% 29.76 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 22?Yes 46.9% 30 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Yes 15.4% 50 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?No 39.2% 56.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?Yes 38% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 22?No 75% 4.18 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 22?Yes 48% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?Yes 38% 35.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?Yes 21% 20 shares
- Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?No 32% 8.52 shares