No position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
DontTrustFakeMedia
0x010395e426e2df31b2cb0a4e1dd0e5af792c067b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $65.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $50m or more by midnight?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$119.76
Yes position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$239.82
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $745.89
- Potential profit
- $745.89
- User PnL
- -$406.87
Yes position
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$10.35
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470.43
- Potential profit
- $470.43
- User PnL
- -$61.82
No position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.94
- Potential profit
- $309.94
- User PnL
- -$182.92
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$140.3
Yes position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.08
- Potential profit
- $178.08
- User PnL
- -$74.55
Yes position
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.07
- Potential profit
- $86.07
- User PnL
- -$36.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.64
- Potential profit
- $43.64
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.63
- Potential profit
- $29.63
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.03
- Potential profit
- $11.03
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.81
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- User PnL
- -$2.07
No position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9K
No position
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85K
Yes position
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $837.54
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.02
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.01
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $660.62
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.69
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.11
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.96
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 95.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No 58% 1,381.45 shares
- Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No 5% 1,500 shares
- Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?Yes 0.5% 3,606.26 shares
- Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Yes 0.8% 970.62 shares
- Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?Yes 0.4% 3,611.54 shares
- Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?Yes 0.6% 3,216.75 shares
- Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Yes 1.3% 4,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 96% 1,000 shares
- Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Yes 2.2% 50 shares
- Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No 8% 4,000 shares