Polymarket Trader

Derek2019

0x010971a7e2eaf6bcb6e1b7b57f1e1bc1e4775570

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.11
Realized PnL: $99.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.97
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $19.81
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $18.65
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $29.82
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $5.47
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $20.12
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.12

Spain position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 87.1%
Current value: $20.03
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $2.96
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.42
Potential profit: $17.42
User PnL: -$2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $12.85
Multiplier: 5.37x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.21
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $8.58
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 52% 38.46 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 34% 5.88 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 23.7% 4.21 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

28.8% 3.37 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.7% 6.12 shares