Yes position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $55.54
- Potential payout
- $317.39
- Potential profit
- $261.85
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Polymarket Trader
shinramyvn
0x010d04d734f9dfa65f895a3d8ab7ca0091add0e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $9.22
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $257.82
- Potential payout
- $312.51
- Potential profit
- $54.69
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $100.73
- Potential payout
- $300.69
- Potential profit
- $199.96
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$13.89
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $13.14
- Potential payout
- $228.56
- Potential profit
- $215.42
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$7.48
Yes position
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $15.83
- Potential payout
- $206.94
- Potential profit
- $191.11
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $70.35
- Potential payout
- $203.98
- Potential profit
- $133.63
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Yes position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $53.77
- Potential payout
- $192.02
- Potential profit
- $138.25
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0.04
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $115.68
- Potential payout
- $159.56
- Potential profit
- $43.88
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $25.08
- Potential payout
- $123.32
- Potential profit
- $98.24
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $91.02
- Potential payout
- $105.84
- Potential profit
- $14.82
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $47.4
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $56.77
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $92.3
- Potential profit
- $85.24
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $22.21
- Potential payout
- $82.28
- Potential profit
- $60.06
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $31.17
- Potential payout
- $80.96
- Potential profit
- $49.79
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $65.04
- Potential payout
- $75.63
- Potential profit
- $10.59
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
No position
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $41.13
- Potential payout
- $67.98
- Potential profit
- $26.85
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Current value
- $20.71
- Potential payout
- $52.89
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $10.62
- Potential profit
- $7.49
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $12.82
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$12.68
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$19.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 60% 105.64 shares
- Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 61% 30 shares
- Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 38.1% 300.69 shares
- Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 5.1% 24.65 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 5.5% 33 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 51.8% 208.51 shares
- Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 27.2% 82.28 shares
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 8.8% 92.3 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 36% 18.83 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 36.9% 185.14 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 7.9% 30.14 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 20.2% 71.56 shares