No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $6.24K
- Potential payout
- $7.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$13.78
Polymarket Trader
123987456
0x0130afd6f3efddf1c3e16e01217b172dd9befb49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.11K
- Realized PnL
- $42.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $5.38K
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- User PnL
- -$7.87
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- User PnL
- -$7.83
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- User PnL
- -$7.88
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $4.93K
- User PnL
- -$7.81
N
No position
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $88.43
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $4.04K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$306.22
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$81.36
Yes position
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$78.1
Yes position
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$76.36
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$74.93
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.12
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $29.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.9
Yes position
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$40.61
Yes position
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$40.61
Yes position
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$40.6
Yes position
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$40.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $967.97
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937.34
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $877.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $858.32
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 62.1% 100 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 65.4% 50.85 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 62.1% 61.96 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 26% 13.88 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 62.2% 12.41 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 62.2% 12.41 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 65.4% 20 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?No 95.4% 16.94 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 6.1% 47.06 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 2.7% 67 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 65.2% 40 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 62.1% 6.86 shares