Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $560.25
- Potential payout
- $830
- Potential profit
- $269.75
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$122.25
Polymarket Trader
hfzhanghfcool
@hfzhanghfcool
0x014bd9cf4c927378852493364344249b7f482a28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $6.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $67.63
- Potential payout
- $386.43
- Potential profit
- $318.8
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$54.32
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $29.75
- Potential payout
- $350.02
- Potential profit
- $320.26
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$73.02
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $116.7
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $33.3
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$14.95
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $119.99
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $92.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $50.39
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$17.6
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $49.83
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $16.17
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $33.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.75
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$9.25
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.25
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.25
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.4
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $3.64
- Potential payout
- $18.2
- Potential profit
- $14.56
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 9PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.7
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 8PM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.99
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475
Up position
Solana Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419
Down position
Solana Up or Down on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.55
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.9
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.9
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.16
No position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.6
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 0.9% 119.99 shares
- Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 1.4% 80 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.9% 100 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.9% 100 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.6% 100 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.5% 100 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.9% 100 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.8% 100 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.9% 100 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 27% 21.8 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 30.1% 40 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 100 shares