No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $166.73K
- Potential payout
- $186.39K
- Potential profit
- $19.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $619.76
Polymarket Trader
Hyperlong
@monolith_fund
0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $525.67K
- Realized PnL
- $117.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $22.78K
- Potential payout
- $138.48K
- Potential profit
- $115.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$46.46K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $115.7K
- Potential payout
- $138.48K
- Potential profit
- $22.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $46.46K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $72.66K
- Potential profit
- $71.17K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$212.53
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $44.55K
- Potential payout
- $65.04K
- Potential profit
- $20.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$9.71K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $198.82
- Potential payout
- $56.81K
- Potential profit
- $56.61K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$734.72
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $119.51
- Potential payout
- $47.81K
- Potential profit
- $47.69K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$420.73
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $43.34K
- Potential payout
- $45.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $30.53K
- Potential payout
- $30.96K
- Potential profit
- $433.47
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $17.86K
- Potential profit
- $16.16K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$691.42
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.8%
- Current value
- $9.32K
- Potential payout
- $16.13K
- Potential profit
- $6.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $102.26
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $13.8K
- Potential payout
- $15.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$681.87
No position
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $7.21K
- Potential payout
- $13.12K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.81K
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $11.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.1K
- Multiplier
- 3.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $9.29K
- Potential payout
- $11.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $99.9
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $10.88K
- Potential payout
- $11.47K
- Potential profit
- $590.53
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $353.24
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Current value
- $6.68K
- Potential payout
- $11.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$587.47
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $10.71K
- Potential profit
- $9.27K
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $8.63K
- Potential payout
- $9.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $378.41
No position
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $6.69K
- Potential payout
- $8.69K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $483.54
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $316.17
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.12K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$155.98
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $6.7K
- Potential payout
- $8.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $291.36
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $6.88K
- Potential payout
- $8.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$81.9
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.01K
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $861.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.16K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81K
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28K
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89K
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $4.75K
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Suns position
Suns vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 67% 973.57 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 68% 85.37 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 37.3% 505 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 69% 2,178.72 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 35,236 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 78,083 shares
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.8% 1,827.17 shares
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 701.21 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 80% 452.15 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 591 shares
- Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?No 90% 40 shares
- England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreNo 54% 20 shares