Polymarket Trader

0x0150489D4B673f36e8faaD13aE632d302E306784-1761993260102

0x0150489d4b673f36e8faad13ae632d302e306784

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.85
Realized PnL: $285.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$11.2

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$59

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.28
Potential profit: $227.28
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $11.54
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $142.31
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $16.32
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $88.95
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.68

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crooked Hillary" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Larry" or "Oracle" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$38.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.09
Potential profit: $97.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$29.7

No position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$29.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 150 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 400 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 97.09 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI 20% 100 shares
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 13% 153.85 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 105.26 shares
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

No 11% 454.55 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

No 96% 100 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 33% 10.9 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

No 47% 18 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?

No 7.2% 100 shares