No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $301.38
- Potential payout
- $306.12
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Polymarket Trader
davida12
0x01535cf354b5437a93312e0cd47720b20b4c89d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $274.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $204.33
- Potential payout
- $206.19
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- User PnL
- $4.33
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $202.75
- Potential payout
- $203.87
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $186.03
- Potential payout
- $187.43
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $176.84
- Potential payout
- $182.21
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $157.59
- Potential payout
- $159.91
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.48
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.85
- Potential profit
- $154.85
- User PnL
- -$152.37
No position
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $127.62
- Potential payout
- $128.65
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $114.79
- Potential payout
- $116.01
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $97.99
- Potential payout
- $98.48
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $94.66
- Potential payout
- $94.99
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $93.68
- Potential payout
- $94.1
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.11
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- User PnL
- -$7.18
No position
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.91
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.68
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
No position
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will SC Delhi win on 2026-05-21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.88
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
Will "Giant" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?No 98.1% 203.87 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No 99% 94.99 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?No 98.9% 116.01 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 98% 94.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 98.8% 99.75 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 29?No 98.9% 209 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?No 97% 159.91 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 99% 187.43 shares
- Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?No 97% 206.19 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 99% 128.65 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?No 97% 98.48 shares
- Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?No 99% 89.45 shares