No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $38.47K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $6.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
Polymarket Trader
leodotfi
@leodotfi
0x015e5b1be16c90903cd2ff62f68ba1eae25bf0ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.17K
- Realized PnL
- $12.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.62K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $374.99
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $275
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $3.83K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $174
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $558.71
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$142
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Current value
- $248.51
- Potential payout
- $319.22
- Potential profit
- $70.71
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $9.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.64
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.83
No position
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.04
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.67
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.23
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.27
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.01
No position
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.2
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.64
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.26
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.28
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.7
No position
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
No position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.66
No position
Will Trump resign in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.14
No position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.6
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.75
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 59% 4,907.88 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 83% 28,881.28 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No 98.6% 2,299.84 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No 98.5% 107.51 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 81.7% 4,000 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.5% 3,530 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 99.5% 4,999.96 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 89% 279.1 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 96.9% 10,000 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 87% 377.46 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.4% 5,799.89 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 82% 5,000 shares