No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $7.72K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $718.28
Polymarket Trader
Trader177
0x0182de4cf995819a63f63800fb1d161e53365e6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.72K
- Realized PnL
- $15.59K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $697.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.95
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.85
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.62
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.8
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.58
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 1,786.92 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 1,786.92 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 2,666.61 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 81.5% 6,134.16 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80.3% 3,689.18 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 6,747.86 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 1% 136.75 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.3% 1,813.38 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 40.7% 718.05 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 41% 239.07 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94.5% 4,934.48 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes 47% 154.66 shares