Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.82
- Potential profit
- $523.82
- User PnL
- -$17.81
Polymarket Trader
0xChi
0x0182f7c2f7ce49b7b29553a2f87ec891f0a834ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $179.2
- Realized PnL
- $980.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.5
- Potential profit
- $351.5
- User PnL
- -$27.66
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.1
- Potential profit
- $147.1
- User PnL
- -$16.14
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $12.91
- Potential payout
- $75.93
- Potential profit
- $63.03
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $61.79
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.5
- Potential profit
- $60.5
- User PnL
- -$27.61
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $49.12
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.02
- Potential profit
- $52.02
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.44
- Potential profit
- $51.44
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.23
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- User PnL
- -$39.99
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.6
- Potential payout
- $45.63
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $31.22
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $26.21
- Potential profit
- $14.94
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
N
No position
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $22.76
- Potential payout
- $24.06
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $15.86
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.38
- Potential payout
- $15.39
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.2%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.76
- Multiplier
- 3.54x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $13.17
- Potential payout
- $14.38
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $12.49
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.69
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $12.18
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84
- Potential profit
- $9.84
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $9.78
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.7
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.19
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 97.9% 6.28 shares
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 98.9% 23.3 shares
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 96.6% 2.27 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes 86% 9.42 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes 79% 6.44 shares
- Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 94.8% 14.75 shares
- Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 97.8% 8.38 shares
- Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 96.8% 6.37 shares
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 91.1% 10.25 shares
- Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 93.9% 3.16 shares
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 88.2% 0.7 shares
- Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 92.4% 5.94 shares