Polymarket Trader

0x019973C485C4BF3D1001c713aE90CB10f2935FFb-1776635179061

0x019973c485c4bf3d1001c713ae90cb10f2935ffb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $163.53
Realized PnL: $2.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.56
Potential profit: $567.56
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $33.35
Potential payout: $555.78
Potential profit: $522.43
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$16.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385.33
Potential profit: $385.33
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315.97
Potential profit: $315.97
User PnL: -$120

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $35.81
Potential payout: $275.49
Potential profit: $239.68
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$4.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.9
Potential profit: $246.9
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.07
Potential profit: $243.07
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $138.13
Potential profit: $129.64
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.34
Potential profit: $108.34
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $69.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.97

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.36
Potential profit: $62.36
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $29.72
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $25.83
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $52.21
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.21

Yes position

Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.37
Potential profit: $47.37
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $35.74
Potential profit: $31.83
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: -$6.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.73

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.72

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.33

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.71

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.21

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $33.86

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 16% 125 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Yes 4.1% 138.13 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 35.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 5% 106.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 47% 53.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 7.6% 395.56 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 45% 55.56 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 36% 69.44 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 13.3% 150.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 19.9% 100.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 75% 304.93 shares