No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $240.86
Polymarket Trader
XY99778
0x019fd4c500615ff771325a8205bd2b9ce5841152
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $9.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$92.84
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $709.95
- Potential profit
- $709.95
- User PnL
- -$218
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.01
- Potential profit
- $174.01
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.95
- Potential profit
- $98.95
- User PnL
- -$43.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.44
- Potential profit
- $42.44
- User PnL
- -$36.92
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $893.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- $719.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.98
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128.89
No position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.82
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 33% 2,408.61 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 81.2% 1,010 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 10% 1,010 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No 30.7% 709.95 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.2% 224.61 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 6.2% 224.62 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 18% 82.4 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 19.4% 82.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Yes 28.1% 189.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?Yes 26% 189.51 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 81% 1,850 shares