Polymarket Trader

0xPoni-Elon

@Poni_PM

0x01a4b8ff7fc23398323b2ce1f0d95333d34d4967

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $214.44
Realized PnL: $13.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $963.56
Potential profit: $963.56
User PnL: -$510.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $830.48
Potential profit: $830.48
User PnL: -$185.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.67
Potential profit: $639.67
User PnL: -$358.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.06
Potential profit: $615.06
User PnL: -$94.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $128.66
Potential payout: $421.84
Potential profit: $293.18
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $8.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $385
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $42.64
Potential payout: $370.75
Potential profit: $328.11
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.27
Potential profit: $280.27
User PnL: -$30.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.95
Potential profit: $242.95
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.68
Potential profit: $163.68
User PnL: -$89.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.58
Potential profit: $127.58
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$11.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.91
Potential profit: $106.91
User PnL: -$4.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $31.83
Potential payout: $101.04
Potential profit: $69.21
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$25.31

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $11.32
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $41.32
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.85
Potential profit: $40.85
User PnL: -$4.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.8
Potential profit: $17.8
User PnL: -$0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 33% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 27% 160 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 73% 146.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 72% 94.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 11% 370.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 27% 103.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 73% 159.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 72% 310.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 63% 206 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 38% 135.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 59.6% 397 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 60% 100 shares