Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $376.38
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$557.56
Polymarket Trader
chromewalletone
0x01a51988a4a144bde11502cbc93e00bc8b375264
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.9K
- Realized PnL
- -$115.18
- Win rate
- 85%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $376.38
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $557.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $28.7
- Potential payout
- $31.72
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.4
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Sergey Fomin position
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle Sels
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.85
No position
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.72
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$116.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 31.72 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 80.5% 1.38 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.5% 5.03 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 98.3% 2.85 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 90% 1.58 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 19.47 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.5% 1.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 95% 10.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 93% 2.04 shares
- Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle SelsSergey Fomin 87% 1.61 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 81.4% 1.77 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 98.7% 1.01 shares