Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $427.5
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Polymarket Trader
thewherewithal
0x01a979d846e5d9f616d8fcd7b39e02493dabcf40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $427.5
- Realized PnL
- $3.66K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $616.64
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.3
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.12
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.85
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.69
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.8
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.24
No position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.9
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.3
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.36
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.76
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.11
No position
US bank failure by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.38
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.24
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.97
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 98.7% 3,747.3 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 96.6% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 9% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 5,000 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by May 31?No 99% 180 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by May 31?No 95% 250 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?No 9.9% 2,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 96.3% 1,823.15 shares
- US bank failure by May 31?No 96.7% 526 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by May 31?No 87.6% 679.84 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 93.5% 593.56 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?No 19.4% 2,000 shares