Polymarket Trader

adliz

0x01ad7bbc22f0837462a718e14649a0de580fd823

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $347.69
Realized PnL: $2.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $14.32
Potential payout: $540.54
Potential profit: $526.22
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$5.68

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $88.42
Potential payout: $229.36
Potential profit: $140.94
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $63.42

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $206.56
Potential profit: $201.71
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$10.15

Yes position

Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $181.07
Potential profit: $179.71
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$8.64

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $24.29
Potential payout: $176.69
Potential profit: $152.4
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $22.81
Potential payout: $125.01
Potential profit: $102.19
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $12.81

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.8%
Current value: $65.38
Potential payout: $113.22
Potential profit: $47.83
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $30.38

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $104.18
Potential profit: $104.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $95.76
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $94.62
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $92.4
Potential profit: $80.43
Multiplier: 7.72x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.6%
Current value: $34.42
Potential payout: $91.68
Potential profit: $57.25
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $29.42

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $81.08
Potential profit: $81.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.14
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $37.73
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$5.86

Yes position

Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $15.43
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $28.04
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$4.57

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $32.05
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $33.27
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $33.87
Potential payout: $35.47
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $15.87

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $22.26
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $4.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.51

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.49

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.79

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.45

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.52

Yes position

Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.74

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.41

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.5

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.16

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.39

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.27

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.79

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.8

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.23

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.59

Yes position

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.76

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.63

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.56

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

No position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.63

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

William Saliba: 1+ shots on target AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shots on target AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

6.1% 31.91 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Morocco to score first vs. France?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 99.8% 58.62 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?

Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists

Yes 20% 25 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assists

Yes 10% 50 shares