Freecoin1

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$627.94

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $91.77
Potential payout: $798.02
Potential profit: $706.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $26.77

No position

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $81.73
Potential payout: $653.86
Potential profit: $572.12
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $31.73

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $61.98
Potential payout: $581.93
Potential profit: $519.95
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: $25.98

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 1)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.79
Potential profit: $278.79
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.36
Potential profit: $254.36
User PnL: -$130

No position

Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.12
Potential profit: $233.12
User PnL: -$131

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $20.36
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $193.93
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $190.48
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?

Implied probability: 57.4%
Current value: $83.13
Potential payout: $144.83
Potential profit: $61.7
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$46.87

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.06
Potential profit: $125.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.75
Potential profit: $114.75
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.1
Potential profit: $106.1
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.91
Potential profit: $103.91
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.82
Potential profit: $99.82
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 1)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.02
Potential profit: $96.02
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $63.3
Potential profit: $55.93
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.91
Potential profit: $59.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.81
Potential profit: $51.81
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" in Corpus Christi on Friday?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "China" in Corpus Christi on Friday?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63K

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.13

No position

Will Trump say "Daddy" in February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.73

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.21

No position

Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.25

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.2

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.22

No position

Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.59

No position

Will Trump say "Drone" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.45

No position

Will Trump say "Restaurant" this week? (March 1)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.64

No position

Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.74

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $34.84

Yes position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.47

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.07

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

Yes position

Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?