Polymarket Trader

Estraeuc8

0x01cbd62e136c776edd5ef544d16c6cad5adfc66b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $82.77
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $27.93

SE Louisiana position

Nicholls State vs. SE Louisiana

Ends Feb 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93

Georgia State position

Old Dominion vs. Georgia State

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Timberwolves

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

No position

Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will ICE detain 1200 or more people on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $27.93

SE Louisiana position

Nicholls State vs. SE Louisiana

Ends Feb 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93

Georgia State position

Old Dominion vs. Georgia State

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Timberwolves

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

No position

Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will ICE detain 1200 or more people on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Baylor position

West Virginia vs. Baylor

Ends Feb 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0

Akron position

Akron vs. Toledo

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.9% 701 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.9% 1,006 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 83.2% 266 shares
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6% 113 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 83.1% 75 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 83% 162 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.1% 158 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.2% 1,001 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Yes 1.1% 574 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Yes 1.1% 574 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37% 86 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37% 422 shares