0x01d9...acd0

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $171.57
Potential payout: $175.61
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $169.99
Potential payout: $173.64
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $153.24
Potential payout: $154.17
Potential profit: $0.93
User PnL: $3.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $139.48
Potential payout: $145.29
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $142.59
Potential payout: $143.81
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $140.29
Potential payout: $140.57
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $4.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $105.46
Potential payout: $106.47
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.39
Potential profit: $103.39
User PnL: -$94.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.76
Potential profit: $102.76
User PnL: -$99.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $100.6
Potential payout: $101.41
Potential profit: $0.81
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $96.16
Potential payout: $99.6
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$2.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.87
Potential profit: $96.87
User PnL: -$94.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $89.12
Potential payout: $92.78
Potential profit: $3.66
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $92.73
Potential payout: $92.78
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $2.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $92.72
Potential payout: $92.77
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $2.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $92.23
Potential payout: $92.28
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $91.88
Potential payout: $91.93
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $91.78
Potential payout: $91.83
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $91.78
Potential payout: $91.83
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $80.12
Potential payout: $91.83
Potential profit: $11.71
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$9.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $89.95
Potential payout: $91.83
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $91.78
Potential payout: $91.83
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $90.89
Potential payout: $91.12
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $90.86
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $90.68
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $90.4
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $90.54
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $90.85
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $90.31
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $0.59
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $90.85
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $90.85
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $88.33
Potential payout: $89.68
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $82.79
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $83.29
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $77.61
Potential payout: $83.32
Potential profit: $5.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $83.03
Potential payout: $83.28
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.87
Potential profit: $82.87
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $81.27
Potential payout: $82.72
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $78.83
Potential payout: $82.72
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 84.6%
Current value: $69.92
Potential payout: $82.65
Potential profit: $12.73
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$10.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $82.54
Potential profit: $82.33
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$79.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $77.42
Potential payout: $82.45
Potential profit: $5.03
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $78.53
Potential payout: $82.19
Potential profit: $3.66
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $77.94
Potential payout: $82.13
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $80.6
Potential payout: $81.95
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $80.55
Potential payout: $81.78
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $78.05
Potential payout: $81.73
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $81.05
Potential payout: $81.62
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.61
Potential profit: $81.61
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $80.8
Potential payout: $81.58
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $0.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on May 16?