Polymarket Trader

0x01F4631D5B15a8cA3cEB3CCB2cF86Cf5D9d0734b-1769602661163

0x01f4631d5b15a8ca3ceb3ccb2cf86cf5d9d0734b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $252.27
Realized PnL: $586.8
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $252.27
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$147.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $15.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 11,111.11 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.6% 5,497.8 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 85.9% 239.72 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 83.4% 45.59 shares
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Yes 4% 986.09 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84.3% 194.14 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 59% 274.09 shares
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Yes 20.8% 481.46 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 54.4% 183.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 80.5% 246.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Down 70.2% 140.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 93.2% 214.33 shares