No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $294.52
- Potential payout
- $324
- Potential profit
- $29.48
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.16
Polymarket Trader
0x01fa...7a59
0x01fa37e85d1460618c62ee553b5012fa382f7a59
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $357.57
- Realized PnL
- $58.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $63.06
- Potential payout
- $99.3
- Potential profit
- $36.24
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.82
- Potential profit
- $21.82
- User PnL
- -$19.86
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.6
- Potential profit
- $20.6
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.42
- Potential profit
- $20.42
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19
- Potential profit
- $20.19
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19
- Potential profit
- $20.19
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19
- Potential profit
- $20.19
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19
- Potential profit
- $20.19
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19
- Potential profit
- $20.19
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19
- Potential profit
- $20.19
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.18
- Potential profit
- $20.18
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.23
- Potential profit
- $12.23
- User PnL
- -$11.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.42
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.09
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.81
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $19.18
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $2.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No 65% 86.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 59% 548 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 270 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 85% 0.52 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 85% 36 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 84% 36.5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 34% 281 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 32.9% 492 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 58% 157 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No 10% 214 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No 19% 105 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No 20% 214 shares