Polymarket Trader

crashoverride

0x01ff72d0de26669436bd9e89389357a191898fc6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $416.96
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.65K
Potential profit: $57.65K
User PnL: -$106.94

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.35K
Potential profit: $21.35K
User PnL: -$599.06

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
User PnL: -$154

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.38
Potential profit: $962.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840.74
Potential profit: $840.74
User PnL: -$294.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $752.47
Potential profit: $752.47
User PnL: -$100

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $416.96
Potential payout: $636.58
Potential profit: $219.62
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $34.88

Yes position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.94
Potential profit: $548.94
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.63
Potential profit: $302.63
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.01
Potential profit: $204.01
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Flex Player?

Ends Jan 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.28
Potential profit: $77.28
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?

Ends Sep 9, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Dalton Kincaid be the top Fantasy Tight End?

Ends Jan 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Running Back?

Ends Jan 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.73

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 1,400 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 6,250 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50,000 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 51% 223.66 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 60% 860.24 shares
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 962.38 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 33% 303.03 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Yes 13.3% 752.47 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 2% 1,001.43 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

No 6% 416.67 shares
Patriots vs. Broncos

Patriots 99.9% 672.4 shares
Patriots vs. Broncos

Patriots 59% 508.47 shares