No position
Will Trump dance today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.18K
- Potential profit
- $7.18K
- User PnL
- -$12.92
Polymarket Trader
OnlyNickel
0x01ffc2167af026d3f5f7cb00fef1de352b4f3c75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $325.9
- Realized PnL
- $2.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $13.62
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$179.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$78.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $29.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$64.53
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $97.75
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $850
- User PnL
- -$28.05
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $775
- Potential profit
- $775
- User PnL
- -$15.85
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $472.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $495.75
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $392.28
- Potential profit
- $390.12
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $351
- Potential profit
- $349.42
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$29.8
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $290.69
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$56.7
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $299.98
- User PnL
- -$47
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $108.95
- Potential payout
- $269
- Potential profit
- $160.06
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $20.49
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $12.33
- Potential payout
- $218.18
- Potential profit
- $205.85
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.31x
- User PnL
- $472.85
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.84
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.89
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $72.75
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.57
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.4
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $32.14
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.91
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.88
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.21
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $14.68
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.32
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes 10% 300 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2% 1,500 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 150 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 1,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.4% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.7% 1,000 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?No 10% 5 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.3% 350 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 0.3% 350 shares