Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.8
- Potential profit
- $216.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
strawberrymoon
0x0203c7acd875ff9582a9d649a8e51fd4b915e1e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.13
- Realized PnL
- $402.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.07
- Potential profit
- $177.07
- User PnL
- -$81.45
Team Secret Whales position
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.3
- Potential profit
- $101.3
- User PnL
- -$43.56
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.93
- Potential profit
- $97.93
- User PnL
- -$50.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.79
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.11
- Potential profit
- $56.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.15
- Potential profit
- $45.15
- User PnL
- -$24.54
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.39
- Potential profit
- $41.39
- User PnL
- -$31.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.31
- Potential profit
- $38.31
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.23
- Potential profit
- $35.23
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.83
- Potential profit
- $22.83
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $20.94
- Potential profit
- $20.57
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.33
- Potential profit
- $18.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $18.15
- Potential profit
- $13.35
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Starodubtseva/Stearns position
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Starodubtseva/Stearns vs Muhammad/Stollar
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $15.01
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $14.97
- Potential profit
- $14.55
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.39
- Potential profit
- $14.39
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.19
LYON position
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.89
LYON position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.74
LYON position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.13
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.8
LYON position
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.94
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS position
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Kaufland Hangry Knights position
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
T1 position
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Sonego position
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Sonego
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Jan-Lennard Struff position
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Svajda position
Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs Svajda
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Mertens position
Set 2 Winner: Mertens vs Rybakina
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?No 46.8% 5.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?Yes 16.5% 6.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 17?Yes 8.4% 11.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?No 68.4% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?Yes 15.6% 6.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?No 94% 1.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?No 95.6% 1.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?No 70.6% 5.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?Yes 59.4% 5.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?No 82.4% 5.23 shares