No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $30.4K
- Potential payout
- $33.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $167.95
Polymarket Trader
BlackPeopleDontRecycle
0x020b3e1b425742b74b67723c5e0feb912665d13c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.42K
- Realized PnL
- $285.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $26.61K
- Potential payout
- $26.67K
- Potential profit
- $66.69
- User PnL
- $7K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $22.63K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.58K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $712.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $423.94
- Potential payout
- $463.32
- Potential profit
- $39.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $57.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.36K
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.76K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.09K
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.46K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28K
de Ridder position
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.09K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 86% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 50% 4,300 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 70% 20,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.8% 25,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 89% 25,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 56% 9,648.25 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 74% 994.62 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No 96.9% 1,418.89 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No 96.8% 1,425.34 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No 80% 5,000 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 33,589.49 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 97.4% 4,549.71 shares