Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $840.02
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $5.62K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $29.17
Polymarket Trader
Llama67
0x020fea8b9bdf27cb729db5bfa80332286d8ede5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $840.02
- Realized PnL
- $8.63K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
Yes position
Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$467.9
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.88
- Potential profit
- $149.88
- User PnL
- -$11.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.7
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.35
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.88
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.27
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.42
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112.53
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $109.58
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$618.59
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$625.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 12% 416.67 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes 23.2% 1,482.25 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 3.4% 3,000 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes 10% 1,099.5 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes 43.7% 1,830.6 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 91.6% 6,242.71 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 15.2% 1,181.35 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 28.4% 1,407.71 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 43.8% 3,653.66 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 12.9% 4,499.93 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes 28.3% 2,999.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 37.8% 3,636.36 shares