No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $742.04
- Potential payout
- $810.97
- Potential profit
- $68.93
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $233.46
Polymarket Trader
0x02187919A1bFb8E2Fe11F4a44c9db3520A2741aE-1760172430762
0x02187919a1bfb8e2fe11f4a44c9db3520a2741ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.05K
- Realized PnL
- $1.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $86.31
- Potential payout
- $784.62
- Potential profit
- $698.31
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$93.69
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $716.67
- Potential profit
- $713.44
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$14.07
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$42.77
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $607.75
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $143.18
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $144.5
- Potential payout
- $566.67
- Potential profit
- $422.17
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$87.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $7.33
- Potential payout
- $444.44
- Potential profit
- $437.11
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$12.67
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $42.66
- Potential payout
- $406.25
- Potential profit
- $363.59
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$72.29
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $68.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $281.75
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $32.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $308.37
- Potential payout
- $348.05
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $151.87
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $115.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $184.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $281.15
- Potential payout
- $282
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $89.39
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $51.5
- Potential payout
- $257.49
- Potential profit
- $205.99
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$128.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $246.38
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$22.38
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $249.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $199.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $100.05
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $129.95
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$19.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $74.04
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.7
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $37.68
- Potential payout
- $182.48
- Potential profit
- $144.8
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$12.32
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$96.65
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.01
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.99
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.4
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.62
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.14
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.59
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.67
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.87
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.17
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.34
No position
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $24.04
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 77% 200 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 76% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 64.4% 150 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No 82% 81.93 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 8% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 24% 76.1 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 62% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 27% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No 51% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 64% 100 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?No 82% 50 shares