Yes position
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.11
- Potential profit
- $116.11
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Polymarket Trader
serenity.now
0x022aba6f35a358fba46d4abc1306629c1b2c8134
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.74
- Realized PnL
- -$9.87
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Dune 3 position
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?Yes 75% 1.85 shares
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AG2 64% 15.43 shares
- Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?Yes 71% 1.38 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 72% 6.94 shares
- Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Dune 3 6% 15.38 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 72% 6.94 shares
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Yes 99.9% 1.75 shares
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Yes 6.2% 16.11 shares
- Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Dune 3 6.5% 15.38 shares
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 18% 5.56 shares