Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $552.22
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Polymarket Trader
Treeman666
0x022c37f203b8aeadf687e00d5a0f055498f67a01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.93K
- Realized PnL
- $1.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $517.47
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$130.24
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $167.34
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $17.12
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $114.09
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $26.29
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $116.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $91.51
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $577.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $122.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.07
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.84
No position
Trump blowout victory?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.22
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.51
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.23
Yes position
Will Trump say "trans" during Georgia rally on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.11
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.37
Yes position
Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "trans" during Michigan rally on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.1
No position
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "trans" during New York rally on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.64
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.01
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.79
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.25
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
No position
Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.13
No position
Will an FBI agent be charged for leaking ICE plans?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.1
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.9
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.85
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
No position
US civil war in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.49
No position
Will TikTok be banned before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
No position
Trump restores local control of DC Police by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.1% 200 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 88.6% 143.38 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 69.8 shares
- Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 77 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 31.91 shares
- Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 5 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 89% 100 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 82% 700 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 300 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 89% 700 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.9% 399.99 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 88.9% 721.73 shares