Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $307.23
- Potential payout
- $418
- Potential profit
- $110.77
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $73.15
Polymarket Trader
LoganBrown1726
0x0257781f7b490340cd5aaf84fb2672c12c466bea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $518.51
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $211.28
- Potential payout
- $313
- Potential profit
- $101.73
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $14.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.84
Yes position
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 75 by April 30?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.4
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.61x
- User PnL
- $192.1
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.5
No position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.1
Yes position
Will JD Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.67
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.64
Yes position
Will SZA perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.4
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $62.79
Yes position
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $58.8
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.78
Yes position
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.34
No position
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.04
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.48
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.65
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $28.18
Yes position
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.51
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Egg" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.56
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $9.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 26 shares
- Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?No 82% 144 shares
- Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?No 83% 144 shares
- US bank failure by June 30?No 72% 407 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 24% 543 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 23% 7 shares
- US bank failure by June 30?No 74% 407 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 63% 313 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 23% 550 shares
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 22% 887 shares
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 22% 91 shares