No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $11.05K
- Potential payout
- $12.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$138.51
Polymarket Trader
adonpoli
@adonpoli_
0x0260366a9add43c25d4f4d35d2210526c6750d88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.25K
- Realized PnL
- $46.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.64K
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $13.31
- User PnL
- $102.89
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $5.91K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$26.99
No position
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $182.79
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $108.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09K
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on September 28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.06
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $933.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.42
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $876.79
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.05
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.21
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.55
No position
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.4
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $657.3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $618.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $597.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $560.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $525.39
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.97
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.44
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 89% 9,599 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 3,459.61 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.1% 6 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 88% 0.01 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.2% 334.73 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.2% 6,425.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 5,000 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 98.9% 741.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.8% 5,944.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.8% 2,111.5 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 98.7% 2,008 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 99.8% 1,000 shares