No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $57.53
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $160.63
Polymarket Trader
lwnbrv
0x0271aff8899597a2fbdbbef6ea3a0d2044a93763
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.96K
- Realized PnL
- $848.3
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $58.89
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $707.24
- Potential payout
- $725
- Potential profit
- $17.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $308.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.44
- Potential profit
- $91.44
- User PnL
- -$79.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.01
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.14
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.36
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.81
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.54
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.09
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.06K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 2,200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 98% 1,991 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 86.4% 91.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?No 99.4% 10,056.3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 83.7% 466.2 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 6.2% 1,070.75 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 44% 86.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.4% 7,923.08 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 68.8% 4,362.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96% 3,125 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 97.6% 9,866.01 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 73.7% 4,072.17 shares