Polymarket Trader

metapandax

0x02857e891f9295d3fd386269b8b9c4f9f03059d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.9K
Realized PnL: $1.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.36K

Ole Miss Rebels position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $874
Potential profit: $874
User PnL: -$680.85

Yes position

Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $859
Potential profit: $859
User PnL: -$94.49

Over position

Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666
Potential profit: $666
User PnL: -$306.36

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $575
Potential payout: $575
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $201.25

Yes position

Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $29.21
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $416.79
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$109.05

Under position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $432
Potential profit: $432
User PnL: -$125.28

Yes position

Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $421
Potential profit: $421
User PnL: -$75.78

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $235
User PnL: -$68.15

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $195
User PnL: -$101.4

Yes position

Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$47.84

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.81
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$10.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Grid" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.88

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.94

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.2

Yes position

Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.2

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.82

Yes position

Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.7

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.71

No position

Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.5

Yes position

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.12

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 90.6%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $65.73

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.84

Yes position

Revolut IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $43.16

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $37.38

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.68

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $29.04

No position

Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.94

No position

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.11

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.35

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $18.78

Yes position

Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.41

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.07

Yes position

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 74% 435 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 75% 435 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

No 53% 763 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

No 53% 10 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

No 55% 773 shares
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

No 72% 557 shares
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

No 72% 180 shares
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

No 69% 737 shares
Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?

No 44% 246 shares
Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?

No 43% 931 shares
Will Natus Vincere make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?

No 54% 1,177 shares
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

No 84% 26 shares