Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $30.22
- Potential payout
- $746.27
- Potential profit
- $716.04
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$19.78
Polymarket Trader
thedeepoutside
0x0285a36393b3a15cacc9c402d713f3b983691471
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- -$50.94
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $606.06
- Potential profit
- $604.55
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.48
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $414.79
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$48.12
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $42.04
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $162.04
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $106.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $93.1
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $152.72
- Potential payout
- $155.44
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $34.03
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $104.86
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$15.97
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $98.35
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $23.6
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $109.04
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $108.05
- Potential payout
- $114.16
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $103.35
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $107.14
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $98.4
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $7.98
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100.18
- Potential profit
- $100.03
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $8.18
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $82.73
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $74.7
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $76.96
- Potential profit
- $74.23
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$14.98
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $16.38
- Potential payout
- $55.52
- Potential profit
- $39.14
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $30.85
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $28.68
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.96
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 49% 200 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.5% 204.08 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No 31% 35.12 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 82% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 28% 107.14 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 69.9% 28.61 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 23% 90 shares
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?No 45% 34.69 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 30.9% 55.5 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No 88% 34.09 shares