Polymarket Trader

isihiah

0x028698b48cdead485114e483b2cb41ae0b7eeb6c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $3.79K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.46K
Potential profit: $11.46K
User PnL: -$5.97K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.39K
Potential profit: $7.39K
User PnL: -$5.94K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.52K
User PnL: -$499.18

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $17.74
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.46K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$641.59

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $71.23
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $414.68

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$200

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $985
Potential profit: $985
User PnL: -$492.5

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $658.08
Potential profit: $658.08
User PnL: -$100

Nakashima position

Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $576.92
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.09
Potential profit: $517.09
User PnL: -$299.91

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.6
Potential profit: $499.6
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.43
Potential profit: $409.43
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357
Potential profit: $357
User PnL: -$149.94

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.44
Potential profit: $300.44
User PnL: -$150

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$100

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $140.85
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $975.63

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.41

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.73

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.32

Katie Boulter position

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristian

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.46

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.31

No position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.73

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.12

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.62

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.83

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.29

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.11

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$56.75

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$76.18

No position

Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 24.4% 409.43 shares
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Assche (+1.5)

Nakashima 52% 576.92 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 61.8% 1,271.9 shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Aurora 40% 500 shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

Team Falcons 64% 695.31 shares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

TheMongolz 38% 263.16 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?

No 34% 1,889.48 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Yes 37.5% 2,666.1 shares
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristian

Katie Boulter 39.9% 576.27 shares
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristian

Katie Boulter 52% 284.4 shares
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 27.6% 1,809.55 shares
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

B8 50% 985 shares