Polymarket Trader

0x028BBB6D184F9B1c05724fabE34AcF10d6762B23-1772209135174

0x028bbb6d184f9b1c05724fabe34acf10d6762b23

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.85K
Realized PnL: -$141.3
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $637.47
Potential payout: $5.33K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$67.81

No position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $507.1
Potential payout: $579.54
Potential profit: $72.44
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $121.38
Potential payout: $411.46
Potential profit: $290.08
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$73.38

No position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $364.31
Potential payout: $409.34
Potential profit: $45.03
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $55.36

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $165.7
Potential payout: $380.93
Potential profit: $215.23
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$43.81

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.21
Potential profit: $379.21
User PnL: -$145.43

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $53.79
Potential payout: $326
Potential profit: $272.21
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$126.29

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $135.55
Potential profit: $133.59
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$6.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $47.96

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $47.14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.43

No position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.49

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.82

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.91

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$13.07

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.41

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.11

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.8

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$153.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 12.8% 1,113.38 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.3% 58 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.7% 33.94 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.7% 58 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.5% 220.08 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.4% 8 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.3% 476.2 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.3% 102.37 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.2% 8 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 85% 45 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84% 72.11 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 87% 30 shares