No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $28.7
- Potential payout
- $28.84
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $1.38
Polymarket Trader
0x028b...4ad0
0x028be7496302642b893fdd61a83abe44c3644ad0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $91.02
- Realized PnL
- $180.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $7.01
- Potential payout
- $9.81
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $9.13
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $8.04
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $7.84
- Potential payout
- $7.86
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $4.38
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $4.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $4.24
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $2.95
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $1.98
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
Katie Swan position
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Sebastian Baez position
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Alex de Minaur position
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 16?Yes 50% 4.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 16?Yes 90% 4.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?Yes 89% 5.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp 99% 5.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?Yes 87% 2.28 shares
- Solana Up or Down - July 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp 96% 1.94 shares
- Solana Up or Down - July 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp 96% 1.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?Yes 98% 5.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?Yes 93% 5.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?No 99% 19.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?No 87% 1.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?No 98% 10.14 shares