Polymarket Trader

andreifrancisc

0x0294a57a31f1f334e64f85d2bb35ad68649fe4db

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $291.25
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $822.08
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563.38
Potential profit: $563.38
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.59
Potential profit: $456.59
User PnL: -$18.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.2%
Current value: $203.62
Potential payout: $344.24
Potential profit: $140.62
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $76.39
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $201.39
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $26.39

Yes position

Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.72
Potential profit: $143.72
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.52
Potential profit: $77.52
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.41
Potential profit: $50.41
User PnL: -$19.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.76

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.12

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.66

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.79

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.88

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.32

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.17

Yes position

Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.77

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.94

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$29.38

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.5

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$52.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 1.2% 833.33 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 18% 277.78 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.2% 171.82 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 60% 32.25 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 18% 62.5 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 35.5% 563.38 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39.1% 25.58 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 52.63 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.5% 51.95 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 62% 32.26 shares