Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $38.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Polymarket Trader
Cleaver2026
0x0295ab94495384587904e39cd0d25b9d679b49d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.32
- Realized PnL
- -$15.49
- Win rate
- 4.2%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.1
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.2
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.3
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $19.31
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $11.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $17.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $14.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.31
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $18.39
- Potential profit
- $14.07
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $7.74
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $9.27
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $9.27
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $7.73
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.72
- Potential payout
- $8.56
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Y
Yes position
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Y
Yes position
Will Jaylen Brown play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Y
Yes position
Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant Tournament
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 1–2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
N
No position
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?No 51% 17 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 30% 18.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 5?Yes 44% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Yes 33% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?No 59% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?Yes 69% 17 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?No 47% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Yes 44% 16.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?No 57% 20 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No 51% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?No 49% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?No 41% 7.13 shares