No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $31.8K
- Potential payout
- $35.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.16K
Polymarket Trader
Imbafer
0x02a17a92e6f673129b37d95359c7af628a3cdd72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.03K
- Realized PnL
- $38.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $73.93
- Potential payout
- $29.57K
- Potential profit
- $29.5K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $14.79
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $23.52K
- Potential payout
- $24.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.1K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.1K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.3K
- Potential payout
- $11.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $16.4
- Potential payout
- $10.94K
- Potential profit
- $10.92K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.26
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.75K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$59.99
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $9.78K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $215
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$2.24K
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $710.41
- Potential payout
- $7.48K
- Potential profit
- $6.77K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$69.58
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $7.02K
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $106.97
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $647.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.05K
- Potential profit
- $7.05K
- User PnL
- -$2.58K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.98K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $6.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$615.36
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $82.3
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $6.01K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$986.48
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$3.03K
Yes position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $25.43
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $5.63K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $5.12K
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.03K
- User PnL
- -$837.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$330.78
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $3.56K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $438
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$112
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $68.57
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $83.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Yes position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Brazil unban X before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 42% 187.39 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 63% 700 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 11% 2,727.27 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 90% 5,131.13 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 1,000 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 23% 434.78 shares
- Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes 60% 63 shares
- Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Yes 59% 1,962.46 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.8% 4,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes 15% 2,000 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 0.3% 9,856.81 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 1,205.33 shares