No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16K
- Potential profit
- $13.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Polymarket Trader
Danitheking
0x02b2902f873a450651386facb7a7953de64952c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $247.87
- Realized PnL
- $5.94K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$525
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $247.87
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$66.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.72
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes 23.8% 2,103.42 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 47.9% 2,088.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 58% 1,725.34 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.4% 4,672.44 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 10% 2,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 21% 2,771.4 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 13% 900 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 14.9% 672.45 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No 10% 4,464.64 shares
- Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes 84% 3,016.29 shares
- US government shutdown by October 1?No 25.1% 3,000 shares