Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $7.22K
- Potential payout
- $60.38K
- Potential profit
- $53.17K
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- $874.67
Polymarket Trader
wolvenfoxlikebear
0x02b8cadb743843a7ae4e336c0a467e73f2793deb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.05K
- Realized PnL
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $65.81
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$89.61
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$141.2
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $302.16
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$81.99
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$261.78
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $878.19
- Potential profit
- $868.53
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$22.43
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $563.12
- Potential profit
- $561.71
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$142.32
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $17.55
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $282.46
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $295.95
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $21.33
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $248.67
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$136
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $115.97
- Potential payout
- $130.3
- Potential profit
- $14.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $37.02
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $103.8
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.05
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$25.05
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $66.9
- Potential profit
- $64.05
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.54
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.03
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.03
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.88
No position
Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.57
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $23.05
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.14
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.41
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $16.62
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 15.5% 45 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 15.5% 462.66 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 83.5% 100 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 26% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 1,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 38.8% 137.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.6% 2,778.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26.8% 1,120.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 8.8% 403 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 12% 2,049.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 9% 97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 50% 200 shares