Polymarket Trader

0x02b8f0E8642E4aE0Af25e5f30eF2Fc311200ff77-1752476808623

0x02b8f0e8642e4ae0af25e5f30ef2fc311200ff77

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $657.3
Realized PnL: $2.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $102.99
Potential payout: $10.84K
Potential profit: $10.74K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$41.99

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $198.87
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 7.10x
User PnL: $78.87

Yes position

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $57.95
Potential payout: $681.82
Potential profit: $623.86
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$17.04

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $85.95
Potential payout: $653.59
Potential profit: $567.65
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$14.05

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.34
Potential profit: $123.34
User PnL: -$23.43

No position

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $102.55
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $29.63
Potential payout: $91.18
Potential profit: $61.55
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.4%
Current value: $32.81
Potential payout: $81.31
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.01
Potential profit: $73.01
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $20.96
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.06
Potential profit: $38.06
User PnL: -$34.63

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.3
Potential profit: $17.3
User PnL: -$5

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.37

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.91

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.29

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.18

No position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.51

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.72

Dolphins position

Bills vs. Dolphins

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $16

No position

Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.16

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.36

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.31

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Vikings position

Ravens vs. Vikings

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?

Yes 28.9% 17.3 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 2.2% 249.72 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 6.1% 57.67 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

Yes 2% 499.99 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 15.3% 653.59 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 18% 46.51 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 5% 227.31 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

Yes 1.7% 51.97 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 12.9% 14.99 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 12.8% 42.68 shares
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1% 2,272.73 shares
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 11% 181.82 shares