Polymarket Trader

0x02c95baB8512ca161e9b92Bf6920A1aa78beb7Cd-1715714996803

0x02c95bab8512ca161e9b92bf6920a1aa78beb7cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $473.93
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $367.75
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$632.25

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.13
Potential profit: $687.13
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $106.18
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $761.42

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 21% 100 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 42.1% 2,372.56 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 69% 1,449.28 shares
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 555.56 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 61% 163.93 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 89% 112.36 shares
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 454.55 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?

Yes 60.7% 1,647.01 shares
US military action against Iran before July?

Yes 39.6% 1,261.42 shares