No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Polymarket Trader
0x02CdA0189Cc54e35d368e521DEAD6A922e03B342-1775789352933
0x02cda0189cc54e35d368e521dead6a922e03b342
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.07
- Realized PnL
- $31.45
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $14.88
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $23.53
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Current value
- $19.98
- Potential payout
- $21.79
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.28
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $13.06
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.41
Portugal position
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Brazil position
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.27
Netherlands position
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 91.8% 21.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?No 63% 23.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?No 70% 14.29 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 82% 24.39 shares
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil 74% 20.27 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands 61% 32.79 shares
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvancePortugal 68% 29.41 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 95.4% 23.25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.8% 25.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2% 50 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 98.7% 18.29 shares