No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
guge1414
0x02d2c75e51d1c9fccecf4092c7e54b99ad0cbf18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.67
- Realized PnL
- -$32.12
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$25.8
No position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $18.67
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Crawford position
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel
Ends Apr 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Solana reach $270 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
No position
Brentford wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.94
No position
Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.17
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 92.5% 20 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 25?No 1.1% 20 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 91.1% 20 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 25?No 1% 20 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?Yes 91.2% 21.93 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes 98.3% 35.45 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.9% 33.37 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes 97.2% 21.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No 97.8% 46.01 shares
- Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?No 99.9% 16.18 shares
- Will Solana reach $270 in September?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No 99.1% 66.16 shares