No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $37.35K
- Potential payout
- $37.41K
- Potential profit
- $56.11
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Polymarket Trader
AxiosReporter12
0x02e93c960a2ced670fe2a4c3e714996fc0b2e4c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.93K
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $7.33K
- Potential payout
- $7.66K
- Potential profit
- $333.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $365.44
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.99K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- $264.07
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.05K
- Potential payout
- $5.46K
- Potential profit
- $409.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $75.81
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.95K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- User PnL
- $15.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $78.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 91% 2,665 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.4% 1.02 shares