Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $377.6
- Potential payout
- $944
- Potential profit
- $566.4
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$141.6
Polymarket Trader
DavidRivers8243
0x02f87fac859d63cdcc961abe504aad1fa6c06c22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.59K
- Realized PnL
- $6.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $544.36
- Potential payout
- $721
- Potential profit
- $176.64
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$68.5
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $63.7
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $196.3
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $14.3
No position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $145.35
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $44.65
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $46.55
No position
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $158.32
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.58
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $121.26
- Potential payout
- $141
- Potential profit
- $19.74
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $28.2
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $132.99
- Potential profit
- $125.94
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$22.21
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $122.51
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $35.71
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $47.97
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $731.6
North Carolina Central Eagles position
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.88
Y
Yes position
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Draw
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $519.88
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.34
Yes position
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.84
Yes position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.5
Yes position
Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $350.88
Yes position
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $348
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $330.88
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.08
No position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 19)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.52
No position
Will Trump post "Hillary" or "Clinton" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.6
Yes position
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $222.99
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $208.08
Yes position
Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.11
Eastern Illinois Panthers position
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.58
No position
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.61
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.05
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.72
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.56
Yes position
Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.44
No position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $110.09
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 10 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 85% 267 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Under 19% 801 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 49% 668 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 85% 988 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 64% 767 shares
- Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No 83% 920 shares
- Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No 83% 42 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 58% 668 shares
- Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?No 44.7% 780 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 62% 767 shares